Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar), hard - Final

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Doha (Qatar) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:00	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	17:00	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	16:00	Premier Sport 1
Finland	17:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	16:00	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports 6
Netherlands	16:00	Ziggo Sport 4
Sweden	16:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Jack Draper		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	1.8	2
	1.78	2.01	Watch
	1.76	2.17
	1.77	2.08	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.78	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.9)	2.05 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Draper
53.6%

Andrey Rublev
46.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). Rublev will win (votes: 10 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 55.3% – 85.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draper is ranked ATP: 16. Rublev is ranked ATP: 10.

Draper in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Rublev is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Draper won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Draper
ATP Doha
21.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Christopher OConnell - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.25	Jack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Draper J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWW?
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Doha
21.02.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
04.09.23	Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev	1:3
ATP Washington
02.08.22	Andrey Rublev - Jack Draper	2:0
ATP Madrid
03.05.22	Andrey Rublev - Jack Draper	2:1

Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev