Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag (Croatia), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 26 July 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Sweden	TV4 Tennis


	Andrey Rublev		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.56	2.38	Watch
	1.65	2.38
	1.6	2.46	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.43	Watch
	1.57	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.66)	2.41 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
60.4%

Francisco Cerundolo
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	0%	4.5%

Andrey Rublev - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (41 of 43 users predict this - 95.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.06% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Rublev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rublev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rublev will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rublev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Umag
25.07.24	Andrey Rublev - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
23.07.24	Andrey Rublev - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
17.07.24	Andrey Rublev - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	Andrey Rublev - Francisco Comesana	1:3 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
26.06.24	Andrey Rublev - Thanasi Kokkinakis	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLL?
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Umag
25.07.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
24.07.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
19.07.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
17.07.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
15.07.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Henri Squire	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Bastad
22.07.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Andrey Rublev	1:2
ATP Hamburg
21.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Andrey Rublev	2:0

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