Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg (Germany), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Hughes A. (Gbr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6


	Francisco Cerundolo		Maximilian Marterer

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.25	3.9
	1.24	3.95	Watch
	1.24	4.47
	1.25	4.18	Watch
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.25	4.04	Watch
	1.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.44)	4.06 ↑ (2.81)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
76.5%

Maximilian Marterer
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Cerundolo's performance.

Maximilian Marterer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maximilian Marterer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximilian Marterer than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maximilian Marterer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	0%	5%

Francisco Cerundolo - Maximilian Marterer Predictions

Users Predictions: Francisco Cerundolo will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marterer is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cerundolo is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Hamburg
15.07.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Henri Squire	Canceled ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.24	Roman Safiullin - Francisco Cerundolo	3:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.24	Marcos Giron - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP London
18.06.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.24	Novak Djokovic - Francisco Cerundolo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 ?LLLL
- Maximilian Marterer
ATP Hamburg
15.07.24	Soon Woo Kwon - Maximilian Marterer	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Maximilian Marterer	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
25.06.24	Paul Jubb - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
23.06.24	Maximilian Marterer - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Maximilian Marterer - Luke Saville	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.10.20	Francisco Cerundolo - Maximilian Marterer	2:1

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