Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires (Argentina), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Spain	M+ Deportes 2, Movistar Deportes 2


	Francisco Cerundolo		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.45	Watch
	1.33	3.61
	1.32	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.32	3.42	Watch
	1.3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.54)	3.46 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
72.5%

Pedro Martinez Portero
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Cerundolo's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: Francisco Cerundolo will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 28. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 41.

Cerundolo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Martinez Portero is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Martinez Portero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cerundolo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
12.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Luciano Darderi - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alex De Minaur	1:3 ✺
15.01.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Facundo Diaz Acosta	Diaz Acosta F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWL?
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Buenos Aires
14.02.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Pedro Martinez Portero	Martinez P. walkover ✺
13.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Damir Dzumhur - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
19.07.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2
ATP London
14.06.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0

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