Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)


	Andrey Rublev		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.82	2
	1.86	2.02
	1.87	2.01	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.79	2.03	Watch
	1.82	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.73)	1.99 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
51.9%

Grigor Dimitrov
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.5%	0%	82.5%

Andrey Rublev - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Users Predictions: Grigor Dimitrov will win (32 of 39 users predict this - 82.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.01% – 94.09%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 6. Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 9.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rublev won 3.

Rublev is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dimitrov is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Rublev won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP US Open
30.08.24	Andrey Rublev - Jiri Lehecka	3:0 ✺
28.08.24	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Rinderknech	3:2 ✺
26.08.24	Andrey Rublev - Thiago Seyboth Wild	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP US Open
30.08.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3 ✺
28.08.24	Rinky Hijikata - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3 ✺
26.08.24	Kyrian Jacquet - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition World Tennis League
24.12.23	Andrey Rublev - Grigor Dimitrov	0:0
21.12.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Andrey Rublev	0:1
ATP Shanghai
14.10.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Vienna
27.10.22	Andrey Rublev - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2
ATP Indian Wells
18.03.22	Andrey Rublev - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0
ATP Beijing
30.09.19	Grigor Dimitrov - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Rotterdam
16.02.18	Andrey Rublev - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2

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