Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday


	Brandon Nakashima		Andrey Rublev

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.9	1.42
	3.07	1.43
	2.84	1.45	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.94	1.41	Watch
	2.9	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.58)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
32.9%

Andrey Rublev
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Brandon Nakashima - Andrey Rublev Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nakashima is ranked ATP: 49. Rublev is ranked ATP: 6.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rublev will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Rublev to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nakashima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
13.08.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
08.08.24	Tommy Paul - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
07.08.24	Denis Shapovalov - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWLWW
- Andrey Rublev
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
12.08.24	Andrey Rublev - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
11.08.24	Andrey Rublev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Jannik Sinner - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Brandon Nakashima - Andrey Rublev	0:2
ATP Barcelona
16.04.24	Brandon Nakashima - Andrey Rublev	2:0
ATP San Diego
29.09.21	Andrey Rublev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0

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