The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Andy Murray 32.1%
Taylor Harry Fritz 67.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
58.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
61.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Andy Murray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andy Murray's form might have worsened.
Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taylor Harry Fritz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andy Murray, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taylor Harry Fritz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.1%
0%
77.9%
Andy Murray - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions
Users Predictions:
131 users predict this event. Murray will win (votes: 29 - 22.1%). Fritz will win (votes: 102 - 77.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 70.8% – 85%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Recent matches Murray is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fritz is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Fritz is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Fritz to win the game is with odds 1.38.