Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Ann Li		Kimberly Birrell

	1	2
	2.20	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.67
	2.23	1.65
	2.23	1.75
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.10	1.73
	2.19	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.15)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ann Li
43.4%

Kimberly Birrell
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ann Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kimberly Birrell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ann Li than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kimberly Birrell than the current prediction. (+1%)

Ann Li - Kimberly Birrell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Li is ranked WTA: 29. Birrell is ranked WTA: 73.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Birrell may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Birrell will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Li won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ann Li - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 44.16%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Kimberly Birrell - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.84%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ann Li
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.26	Ann Li - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Ann Li - Shuai Zhang	2:0 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
22.05.26	Emma Navarro - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
21.05.26	Marie Bouzkova - Ann Li	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Ann Li - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWW
- Kimberly Birrell
WTA Nottingham
14.06.26	Katie Volynets - Kimberly Birrell	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Mingge Xu - Kimberly Birrell	0:2 ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
08.06.26	Magda Linette - Kimberly Birrell	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Kimberly Birrell	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Kimberly Birrell - Jessica Pegula	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
19.03.26	Ann Li - Kimberly Birrell	2:1
WTA Singapore
31.01.25	Ann Li - Kimberly Birrell	2:0

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