Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Bad Homburg, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday


	Ann Li		Ekaterina Alexandrova

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.20	1.65
	2.27	1.61
	2.27	1.71
	2.18	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.33	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.14)	1.65 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ann Li
42.3%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ann Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ann Li than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	0%	68.2%

Ann Li - Ekaterina Alexandrova Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Li will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Alexandrova will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Li (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Li is ranked WTA: 29. Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 19.

In recent matches, Li has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alexandrova's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alexandrova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alexandrova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Li won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Ann Li - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 44.42%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ann Li
WTA Nottingham
19.06.26	Ann Li - Viktorija Golubic	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Ann Li - Taylah Preston	2:1 ✺
16.06.26	Ann Li - Kimberly Birrell	2:1 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.26	Ann Li - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Ann Li - Shuai Zhang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Berlin
17.06.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Anastasia Potapova	Potapova A. Retired ✺
WTA Hertogenbosch
08.06.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Panna Udvardy	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
25.05.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
WTA Strasbourg
19.05.26	Ann Li - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 L?LLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Strasbourg
19.05.26	Ann Li - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1
WTA Wuhan
07.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ann Li	2:0
WTA Charleston
02.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ann Li	2:0

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