Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tokyo 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ann Li		Ekaterina Alexandrova

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.00	1.78
	1.95	1.8
	2.01	1.76	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.12	1.74	Watch
	1.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.96)	1.78 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ann Li
47.1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova
52.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ann Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ann Li than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Ann Li - Ekaterina Alexandrova Predictions

Users Predictions: Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Li is ranked WTA: 31., and Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 33..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Alexandrova could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Li has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 0.8:1.8 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ann Li
WTA Osaka
24.10.26	Ann Li - Ashlyn Krueger	1:2 ✺
22.10.26	Ann Li - Lilli Tagger	2:1 ✺
21.10.26	Ann Li - Zeynep Sonmez	2:0 ✺
19.10.26	Ann Li - Emerson Jones	2:1 ✺
WTA Wuhan
16.10.26	Ann Li - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWL
- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Ningbo
23.10.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1 ✺
21.10.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Marta Kostyuk	Kostyuk M. Retired ✺
20.10.26	Hanyu Guo - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
11.10.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	1:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
08.10.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?WLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Bad Homburg
23.06.26	Ann Li - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2
WTA Strasbourg
19.05.26	Ann Li - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1
WTA Wuhan
07.10.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ann Li	2:0
WTA Charleston
02.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Ann Li	2:0

Ann Li - Ekaterina Alexandrova