Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday


	Ann Li		Leylah Annie Fernandez

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.42	1.57
	2.5	1.61
	2.43	1.59	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.5	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.14)	1.59 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ann Li
39.7%

Leylah Annie Fernandez
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ann Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Leylah Annie Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ann Li than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ann Li, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leylah Annie Fernandez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Ann Li - Leylah Annie Fernandez Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Li will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Fernandez will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fernandez: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Li is ranked WTA: 34. Fernandez is ranked WTA: 25.

Recent performances by Li have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fernandez is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fernandez might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Fernandez will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Li won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ann Li - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 44.13%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ann Li
WTA Madrid
25.04.26	Iga Swiatek - Ann Li	Swiatek I. Retired ✺
23.04.26	Alycia Parks - Ann Li	1:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
17.04.26	Marta Kostyuk - Ann Li	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Kamilla Rakhimova - Ann Li	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Darya Kasatkina - Ann Li	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 ?WLWW
- Leylah Annie Fernandez
WTA Madrid
25.04.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Iva Jovic	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Julia Grabher	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
17.04.26	Elena Rybakina - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Zeynep Sonmez	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Alexandra Eala - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
08.02.26	Ann Li - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:0
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Ann Li	1:2

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