Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Hong Kong (Hong Kong), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	Anna Blinkova		Ajla Tomljanovic

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.78
	1.97	1.74	Watch
	1.99	1.85
	2.04	1.85	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2.05	1.79	Watch
	1.98	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.71)	1.79 ↓ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anna Blinkova
47.4%

Ajla Tomljanovic
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anna Blinkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anna Blinkova's form might have worsened.

Ajla Tomljanovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajla Tomljanovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anna Blinkova than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anna Blinkova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajla Tomljanovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Anna Blinkova - Ajla Tomljanovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Blinkova will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tomljanovic will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tomljanovic: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Blinkova is ranked WTA: 78. Tomljanovic is ranked WTA: 107.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Blinkova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anna Blinkova
WTA Wuhan
05.10.24	Suzan Lamens - Anna Blinkova	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
04.10.24	Emma Navarro - Anna Blinkova	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Simona Halep - Anna Blinkova	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Peangtarn Plipuech - Anna Blinkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
26.09.24	Anna Blinkova - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 ?WWWL
- Ajla Tomljanovic
ATP Challenger
04.10.24	Ajla Tomljanovic - McCartney Kessler	Kessler M. retired ✺
03.10.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Ajla Tomljanovic	0:2 ✺
WTA Hong Kong
01.10.24	Ajla Tomljanovic - Marina Stakusic	2:1 ✺
WTA Beijing
25.09.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:1 ✺
WTA Seoul
19.09.24	Ajla Tomljanovic - Beatriz Haddad Maia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 ?WWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Birmingham
17.06.24	Ajla Tomljanovic - Anna Blinkova	2:0
WTA Mallorca
18.06.18	Ajla Tomljanovic - Anna Blinkova	2:0
WTA Monterrey
05.04.18	Anna Blinkova - Ajla Tomljanovic	1:2

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