Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shymkent 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shymkent 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Antoine Ghibaudo		Andrej Nedic

	1	2
	2.65	1.42
	2.76	1.5
	2.61	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.34)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antoine Ghibaudo
34.8%

Andrej Nedic
65.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

66%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antoine Ghibaudo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Andrej Nedic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Nedic than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Antoine Ghibaudo - Andrej Nedic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nedic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Andrej Nedic will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 325. Nedic is ranked ATP: 285.

Ghibaudo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nedic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Nedic is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Antoine Ghibaudo - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.38%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antoine Ghibaudo
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Samuele Pieri	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Timofey Skatov - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Jelle Sels - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Radu Albot - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW
- Andrej Nedic
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Mathys Erhard - Andrej Nedic	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Svyatoslav Gulin - Andrej Nedic	Gulin S. Retired ✺
24.04.26	Andrej Nedic - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Dali Blanch - Andrej Nedic	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Bekkhan Atlangeriev - Andrej Nedic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 W?LWW

Antoine Ghibaudo - Andrej Nedic