Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shymkent 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shymkent 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Antoine Ghibaudo		Samuele Pieri

	1	2
	1.54	2.31
	1.59	2.47
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.56	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.83)	2.35 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antoine Ghibaudo
60.2%

Samuele Pieri
39.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antoine Ghibaudo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Antoine Ghibaudo's performance.

Samuele Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samuele Pieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antoine Ghibaudo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samuele Pieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Antoine Ghibaudo - Samuele Pieri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 325. Pieri is ranked ATP: 472.

Ghibaudo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pieri has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pieri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Samuele Pieri - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antoine Ghibaudo
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Oleksii Krutykh	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Timofey Skatov - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Jelle Sels - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Radu Albot - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Mili Poljicak - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWW
- Samuele Pieri
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Samuele Pieri - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Samuele Pieri	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.04.26	Samuele Pieri - Mika Petkovic	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Andrew Paulson - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWL

Antoine Ghibaudo - Samuele Pieri

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Antoine Ghibaudo - Samuele Pieri Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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