Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chicago - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 4 August 2025, Monday


	Antoine Ghibaudo		Spencer Johnson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.44	1.54
	2.19	1.65	Watch
			Watch
	2.02	1.73	Watch
	1.87	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.83)	1.73 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antoine Ghibaudo
45.6%

Spencer Johnson
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antoine Ghibaudo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Spencer Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antoine Ghibaudo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spencer Johnson than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spencer Johnson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	0%	93.7%

Antoine Ghibaudo - Spencer Johnson Predictions

Users Predictions: Spencer Johnson will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Spencer Johnson will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

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Preview

Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 470. Johnson is ranked ATP: 932.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ghibaudo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Antoine Ghibaudo - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antoine Ghibaudo
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Pranav Kumar	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Bruno Kuzuhara - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Jack Anthrop	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.07.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Yusuke Takahashi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL
- Spencer Johnson
ATP Challenger
03.08.25	Spencer Johnson - Dan Martin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Mikael Arseneault - Spencer Johnson	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Tung-Lin Wu - Spencer Johnson	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Spencer Johnson - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.25	Spencer Johnson - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 W?LWL

Antoine Ghibaudo - Spencer Johnson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide