Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Santo Domingo (Dominican Republic), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday


	Ariana Arseneault		Matilde Jorge

	1	2
			Watch
	2.26	1.6
	2.2	1.62
	2.24	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.5)	1.6 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Arseneault
41.8%

Matilde Jorge
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Arseneault than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana Arseneault that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matilde Jorge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Arseneault is ranked WTA: 598. Jorge is ranked WTA: 287.

Arseneault is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Jorge is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arseneault could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jorge will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
18.03.25	Ariana Arseneault - Ella McDonald	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Emily Appleton - Ariana Arseneault	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Ariana Arseneault - Jada Robinson	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Ariana Arseneault - Valentina Ivanov	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Ariana Arseneault - Isabella Marton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW
- Matilde Jorge
ITF Tournaments
06.03.25	Emeline Dartron - Matilde Jorge	2:1 ✺
05.03.25	Matilde Jorge - Kathinka Von Deichmann	2:1 ✺
18.02.25	Matilde Jorge - Brooke Black	1:2 ✺
13.02.25	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Ella McDonald - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLW

Ariana Arseneault - Matilde Jorge: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide