Ariana Arseneault - Yuki Naito predictions, live, scores & stats

Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Saguenay, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Saguenay 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ariana Arseneault		Yuki Naito

	1	2
			Watch
	1.70	2.00
	1.72	2
	1.71	1.71	Watch
	1.74	2.06
	1.67	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.59)	1.96 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Arseneault
53.4%

Yuki Naito
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Arseneault has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ariana Arseneault's form might have worsened.

Yuki Naito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuki Naito's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Arseneault than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuki Naito than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Ariana Arseneault - Yuki Naito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arseneault is ranked WTA: 352., and Naito is ranked WTA: 278..

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Naito could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Yuki Naito - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Sara Saito - Ariana Arseneault	1:2 ✺
22.10.26	Ariana Arseneault - Katherine Sebov	2:0 ✺
20.10.26	Raphaelle Lacasse - Ariana Arseneault	1:2 ✺
17.10.26	Mingge Xu - Ariana Arseneault	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Ayana Akli - Ariana Arseneault	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLW
- Yuki Naito
ITF Tournaments
23.10.26	Yuki Naito - Ayana Akli	2:0 ✺
22.10.26	Clemence Mercier - Yuki Naito	0:2 ✺
20.10.26	Yuki Naito - Annabele Xu	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Yuki Naito - Mingge Xu	0:2 ✺
15.10.26	Yuki Naito - Kallista Liu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
28.10.26	Ariana Arseneault - Sara Saito	✺
- Yuki Naito
ITF Tournaments
28.10.26	Yuki Naito - Anne-Christine Lutkemeyer	✺

Ariana Arseneault - Yuki Naito