Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mallorca 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Ariana Geerlings Martinez		Lucia Cortez Llorca

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.40	2.80
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.41	2.72	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)	2.71 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Geerlings Martinez
65.6%

Lucia Cortez Llorca
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Geerlings Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Lucia Cortez Llorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Cortez Llorca than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Lucia Cortez Llorca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 505., and Cortez Llorca is ranked WTA: 395..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Cortez Llorca may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Geerlings Martinez holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Geerlings Martinez has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Ariana Geerlings Martinez - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.18%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Geerlings Martinez
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Tea Kovacevic - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Aurora Zantedeschi	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Laura Boehner	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.09.26	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLWLL
- Lucia Cortez Llorca
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Caijsa Wilda Hennemann	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Angelica Sara	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Meritxell Teixido Garcia	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Kira Pavlova - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.09.26	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	2:1
03.10.24	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:1
ATP Challenger
08.06.24	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Lucia Cortez Llorca	1:2
ITF Tournaments
02.12.22	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:1

Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Lucia Cortez Llorca