Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Baza (Spain), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 October 2024, Thursday


	Ariana Geerlings Martinez		Lucia Cortez Llorca

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.55	2.25
	1.5	2.46
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.32	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (2.25)	2.3 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Geerlings Martinez
59.8%

Lucia Cortez Llorca
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Geerlings Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ariana Geerlings Martinez's performance.

Lucia Cortez Llorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucia Cortez Llorca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana Geerlings Martinez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Cortez Llorca than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucia Cortez Llorca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Lucia Cortez Llorca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 474. Cortez Llorca is ranked WTA: 327.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Geerlings Martinez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cortez Llorca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Geerlings Martinez won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Geerlings Martinez
ITF Tournaments
02.10.24	Ana Konjuh - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	Konjuh A. retired ✺
11.09.24	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Maria Golovina	0:2 ✺
05.09.24	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Ruirui Zou	1:2 ✺
04.09.24	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Vlada Mincheva	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Abdel Aziz Lamis Alhussein	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LLWW
- Lucia Cortez Llorca
ITF Tournaments
01.10.24	Sofia Shapatava - Lucia Cortez Llorca	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Lucia Cortez Llorca	Cortez Llorca L. retired ✺
08.09.24	Andreea Prisacariu - Lucia Cortez Llorca	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.09.24	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Irina Maria Bara	1:2 ✺
04.09.24	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Ksenia Laskutova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.06.24	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Lucia Cortez Llorca	1:2
ITF Tournaments
02.12.22	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:1

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