Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday


	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo		Ariana Geerlings Martinez

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.2	1.6
	2.23	1.71
	2.18	1.62	Watch
	2.14	1.69
	2.25	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.21)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
42.8%

Ariana Geerlings Martinez
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ane Mintegi Del Olmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ariana Geerlings Martinez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ane Mintegi Del Olmo than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Ariana Geerlings Martinez Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mintegi Del Olmo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Geerlings Martinez will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mintegi Del Olmo is ranked WTA: 273. Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 589.

Recent performances by Mintegi Del Olmo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Geerlings Martinez is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mintegi Del Olmo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Geerlings Martinez will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Geerlings Martinez will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Alicia Herrero Linana	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Elena Pridankina - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Sapfo Sakellaridi - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Anastasia Tikhonova - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWL
- Ariana Geerlings Martinez
ITF Tournaments
13.09.26	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Francesca Pace	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Amandine Hesse - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Freya Peet - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW

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