Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Frankfurt, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Arthur Bonnaud		Julien Penzlin

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	1.84	1.86
	2.06	1.78
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.03	1.76
	1.97	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.22)	1.78 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Bonnaud
47.8%

Julien Penzlin
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Bonnaud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Bonnaud's performance.

Julien Penzlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Julien Penzlin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Bonnaud than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Bonnaud that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Julien Penzlin than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Julien Penzlin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arthur Bonnaud - Julien Penzlin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bonnaud is ranked ATP: 1684. Penzlin is ranked ATP: 1403.

Bonnaud is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Penzlin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Penzlin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Bonnaud
ITF Tournaments
16.07.26	Arthur Bonnaud - Viktor Durasovic	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Arthur Bonnaud - Tristan Berard	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Arthur Bonnaud - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Tanguy Genier - Arthur Bonnaud	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Arthur Bonnaud - Mickael Kaouk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLL
- Julien Penzlin
ITF Tournaments
01.07.26	Lasse Poertner - Julien Penzlin	2:1 ✺
26.06.26	Manel Lazaro Juncadella - Julien Penzlin	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Julien Penzlin - Sydney Zick	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Sebastian Bozemoj - Julien Penzlin	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Vincent Marysko - Julien Penzlin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWL

Arthur Bonnaud - Julien Penzlin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide