Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau (France), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Arthur Bouquier		Raphael Collignon

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.68
			Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.3)	1.69 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Bouquier
44.3%

Raphael Collignon
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Bouquier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Bouquier than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Bouquier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raphael Collignon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Arthur Bouquier - Raphael Collignon Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bouquier will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Collignon will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bouquier: 76.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Houston in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Iowa State is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Houston is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Houston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 167:191 (average 55.7:63.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Houston won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 114:134 (average 57:67).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Bouquier
ATP Challenger
21.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Arthur Bouquier	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Robin Bertrand - Arthur Bouquier	1:2 ✺
17.02.25	Arthur Bouquier - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Arthur Bouquier - Lucas Pouille	Pouille L. retired ✺
08.02.25	Arthur Bouquier - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWW?W
- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
21.02.25	Filip Misolic - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Alexey Vatutin - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Maxence Beauge - Raphael Collignon	1:2 ✺
18.02.25	Maxime Cressy - Raphael Collignon	Canceled ✺
ATP Marseille
10.02.25	Raphael Collignon - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.03.24	Raphael Collignon - Arthur Bouquier	0:2

Arthur Bouquier - Raphael Collignon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide