Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau (France), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday


	Murphy Cassone		Arthur Bouquier

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.56	2.52
			Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (2.04)	2.47 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
61.9%

Arthur Bouquier
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Murphy Cassone's performance.

Arthur Bouquier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Bouquier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Murphy Cassone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Bouquier than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Bouquier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Murphy Cassone - Arthur Bouquier Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Cassone will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Bouquier will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bouquier: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 259. Bouquier is ranked ATP: 251.

Recent matches Cassone is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bouquier in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Bouquier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
20.02.25	Alexander Blockx - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
09.02.25	Tristan Boyer - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.01.25	Murphy Cassone - Tyler Zink	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLWL
- Arthur Bouquier
ATP Challenger
19.02.25	Robin Bertrand - Arthur Bouquier	1:2 ✺
17.02.25	Arthur Bouquier - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Arthur Bouquier - Lucas Pouille	Pouille L. retired ✺
08.02.25	Arthur Bouquier - Calvin Hemery	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Arthur Bouquier - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WW?WW

Murphy Cassone - Arthur Bouquier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide