Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MONTPELLIER (FRANCE) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Arthur Cazaux		Emilio Nava

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.6	2.3
	1.58	2.43
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.54	2.36	Watch
	1.58	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.86)	2.32 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Cazaux
59.6%

Emilio Nava
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Cazaux's performance.

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emilio Nava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Cazaux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Emilio Nava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Arthur Cazaux - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cazaux will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Nava will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cazaux: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cazaux is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nava is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Challenger
21.01.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
20.01.23	Giovanni Fonio - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
20.01.23	Tennys Sandgren - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
18.01.23	Arthur Cazaux - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
16.01.23	Arthur Cazaux - Stuart Parker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWW
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
31.01.23	Vasek Pospisil - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
24.01.23	Emilio Nava - Gregoire Barrere	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.23	Emilio Nava - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
10.01.23	Yuichi Sugita - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
09.01.23	Andrea Vavassori - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW

Arthur Cazaux - Emilio Nava: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide