Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Arthur Cazaux		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.91	1.46
	2.81	1.41	Watch
	2.71	1.47	Watch
	3	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3)	1.44 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Cazaux
33.8%

Jakub Mensik
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Arthur Cazaux - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cazaux will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Mensik will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mensik (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Cazaux (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cazaux (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mensik (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cazaux is ranked ATP: 80. Mensik is ranked ATP: 19.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mensik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mensik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cazaux won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Juncheng Shang - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Quentin Halys - Arthur Cazaux	Halys Q. retired ✺
23.09.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
20.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Arthur Cazaux	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Arthur Cazaux - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 W?WLW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Beijing
25.09.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
21.09.25	Jakub Mensik - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Jakub Mensik - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Francis Tiafoe - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.01.23	Arthur Cazaux - Jakub Mensik	2:0

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