Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Arthur Cazaux		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	1.53	2.38
	1.5	2.52
	1.54	2.54
	1.50	2.56	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.57	2.42	Watch
	1.74	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.74)	2.36 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Cazaux
59.9%

Jan-Lennard Struff
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Cazaux's performance.

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan-Lennard Struff might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Cazaux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan-Lennard Struff could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	0%	17.2%

Arthur Cazaux - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Cazaux will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Cazaux will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cazaux is ranked ATP: 75. Struff is ranked ATP: 145.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Cazaux may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cazaux won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Cazaux
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Arthur Cazaux - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Arthur Cazaux - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Jenson Brooksby - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Taro Daniel - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Clement Chidekh - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Mariano Navone - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
24.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kitzbuhel
24.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0

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