Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Thiago Augustin Tirante		Arthur Cazaux

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.48	1.48	Watch
	2.63	1.52
	1.77	1.98	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2)	1.6 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Augustin Tirante
40.6%

Arthur Cazaux
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Augustin Tirante's form might have worsened.

Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Cazaux's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Cazaux, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Arthur Cazaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tirante will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Cazaux will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Cazaux will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tirante is ranked ATP: 135. Cazaux is ranked ATP: 76.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tirante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tirante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Matteo Gigante - Thiago Augustin Tirante	Gigante M. retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Luca Nardi - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	James Kent Trotter - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 W?LWL
- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Jenson Brooksby - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Arthur Cazaux - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
26.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.06.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Arthur Cazaux	Tirante T. A. retired

Thiago Augustin Tirante - Arthur Cazaux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide