Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday


	Mariano Navone		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.45	Watch
	3.73	1.3
	2.43	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	3.21	1.32	Watch
	2.15	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.36)	1.48 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
35.6%

Jan-Lennard Struff
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Mariano Navone - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: Jan-Lennard Struff will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jan-Lennard Struff will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 77. Struff is ranked ATP: 138.

Navone has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Struff is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Struff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Struff will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mariano Navone - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.49%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Umag
23.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
17.07.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.25	Mariano Navone - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Kitzbuhel
24.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Sebastian Ofner - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nico Hipfl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW

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