Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: John Cain Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Arthur Fery		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.43	Watch
	2.82	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (4.14)	1.41 ↑ (1.28)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fery
32.7%

Flavio Cobolli
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

76.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fery's performance.

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flavio Cobolli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Arthur Fery - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fery will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Cobolli will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cobolli: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Fery (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Cobolli (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Fery (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4 Games - Fery (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Fery (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Cobolli (votes: 8 - 61.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Fery is ranked ATP: 185. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 22.

Fery is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cobolli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fery may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cobolli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Dino Prizmic - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Arthur Fery - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Arthur Fery - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fery	Fery A. retired ✺
03.01.26	Daniel Jovanovski - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWW?W
- Flavio Cobolli
Exhibition Kooyong Men
14.01.26	Flavio Cobolli - Alexander Zverev	Canceled ✺
ATP United Cup
05.01.26	Flavio Cobolli - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Flavio Cobolli - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
28.12.25	Flavio Cobolli - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Flavio Cobolli - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 ?LWLL

Arthur Fery - Flavio Cobolli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide