Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Arthur Fery		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.8	1.96	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.81	2.02	Watch
	1.78	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.02)	2 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fery
53.2%

Bernard Tomic
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fery's performance.

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernard Tomic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fery that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bernard Tomic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	0%	84.2%

Arthur Fery - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Fery (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tomic (votes: 8 - 72.7%).

Users Predictions: Bernard Tomic will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fery is ranked ATP: 185. Tomic is ranked ATP: 184.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Tomic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fery won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Arthur Fery - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fery	Fery A. retired ✺
03.01.26	Daniel Jovanovski - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Arthur Fery - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Arthur Fery - Alberto Barroso Campos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?WLW
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Bernard Tomic - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Blake Ellis - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	James Watt - Bernard Tomic	Watt J. retired ✺
06.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.08.25	Arthur Fery - Bernard Tomic	Fery A. walkover

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