Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Lyon, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lyon 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	20:00	Max Sport 4
Romania	20:00	Prima Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 3
Sweden	19:00	TV4 Tennis


	Flavio Cobolli		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.3	3.3
	1.33	3.46	Watch
	1.32	3.5
	1.3	3.57	Watch
	1.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.37)	3.41 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
72.2%

Stanislas Wawrinka
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Flavio Cobolli - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobolli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Cobolli (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Flavio Cobolli will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobolli (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cobolli is ranked ATP: 6., and Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 140..

Cobolli is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Wawrinka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Cobolli carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Cobolli has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 67.69%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
01.10.26	Roman Safiullin - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
26.09.26	Flavio Cobolli - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Alexander Blockx - Flavio Cobolli	3:1 ✺
03.09.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Flavio Cobolli	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Lyon
21.10.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Joao Fonseca - Stanislas Wawrinka	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Gustavo Heide - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Matteo Berrettini - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Roman Safiullin - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 W?LLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP United Cup
04.01.26	Flavio Cobolli - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1
ATP Shanghai
07.10.24	Flavio Cobolli - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1

Flavio Cobolli - Stanislas Wawrinka