Match Info

Date: 24 May 2021, Monday


	Arthur Fils		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5
	2.52	1.52	Watch
	2.4	1.51
	2.42	1.57
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.72	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (3.01)	1.52 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
38.2%

Bernard Tomic
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fils's performance.

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bernard Tomic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bernard Tomic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.3%	0%	38.7%

Arthur Fils - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 19 - 61.3%). Tomic will win (votes: 12 - 38.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 44.2% – 78.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fils is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tomic is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Tomic is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ITF Tournaments
05.05.21	Nuno Borges - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
27.04.21	Timofey Skatov - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
22.04.21	Chun Hsin Tseng - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
20.04.21	Georgii Kravchenko - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
15.04.21	Shintaro Mochizuki - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWL
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
22.04.21	Bernard Tomic - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
21.04.21	Bernard Tomic - Ruben Bemelmans	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.21	Bernard Tomic - Salvatore Caruso	0:2 ✺
10.04.21	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.04.21	Bernard Tomic - Kimmer Coppejans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWL

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