Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 2 (PORTUGAL), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 11 January 2023, Wednesday


	Arthur Fils		Cem Ilkel

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.7	1.44
	2.6	1.42
	2.66	1.49
	2.62	1.44
	2.64	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (1.94)	1.44 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
35.5%

Cem Ilkel
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Fils's form might have worsened.

Cem Ilkel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cem Ilkel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Fils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cem Ilkel than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cem Ilkel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Arthur Fils - Cem Ilkel Predictions

Users Predictions: Cem Ilkel will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Fils is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ilkel is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ilkel will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ilkel to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Challenger
09.01.23	Arthur Fils - Louis Wessels	2:1 ✺
22.11.22	Marton Fucsovics - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
21.11.22	Arthur Fils - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Arthur Fils - Mirko Martinez	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	Arthur Fils - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWWL
- Cem Ilkel
ATP Challenger
10.01.23	Joao Domingues - Cem Ilkel	0:2 ✺
09.01.23	Rudolf Molleker - Cem Ilkel	0:2 ✺
08.01.23	Fabio Coelho - Cem Ilkel	0:2 ✺
07.01.23	Cem Ilkel - Joris De Loore	1:2 ✺
06.01.23	Cem Ilkel - Gabriel Debru	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW

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