Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OEIRAS 2 (PORTUGAL), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 12 January 2023, Thursday


	Arthur Fils		Maximilian Neuchrist

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.61	2.3
	1.57	2.21
	1.63	2.34
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.33	Watch
	1.61	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.47)	2.27 ↓ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
58.8%

Maximilian Neuchrist
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Maximilian Neuchrist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Fils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maximilian Neuchrist than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maximilian Neuchrist, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Arthur Fils - Maximilian Neuchrist Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Fils will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fils will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Challenger
11.01.23	Arthur Fils - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
09.01.23	Arthur Fils - Louis Wessels	2:1 ✺
22.11.22	Marton Fucsovics - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
21.11.22	Arthur Fils - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Arthur Fils - Mirko Martinez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWW
- Maximilian Neuchrist
ATP Challenger
11.01.23	Goncalo Oliveira - Maximilian Neuchrist	0:2 ✺
09.01.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
06.01.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
04.01.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
02.01.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW

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