Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BLOIS (FRANCE), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 21 June 2023, Wednesday


	Arthur Gea		Benjamin Hassan

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.3	1.6
	2.26	1.67
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.63)	1.61 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
42%

Benjamin Hassan
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Gea's performance.

Benjamin Hassan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benjamin Hassan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Gea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Hassan than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benjamin Hassan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Arthur Gea - Benjamin Hassan Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Hassan will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gea: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Gea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hassan will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Timofey Skatov - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
11.06.23	Arthur Gea - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
Boys Singles French Open
05.06.23	Maxim Mrva - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
04.06.23	Emilien Demanet - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.23	Arthur Gea - Liam Broady	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLWL
- Benjamin Hassan
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Benjamin Hassan - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
11.06.23	Benjamin Hassan - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
10.06.23	Roman Safiullin - Benjamin Hassan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.06.23	Benjamin Hassan - Liam Gavrielides	0:2 ✺
31.05.23	Benjamin Hassan - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLL

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