Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday


	Arthur Gea		Daniel Masur

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.38
	3.04	1.4
	3.04	1.4
	2.75	1.4
	2.89	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.36)	1.4 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
32.8%

Daniel Masur
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Gea's form might have worsened.

Daniel Masur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Masur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Masur than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Arthur Gea - Daniel Masur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Gea is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Masur in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Masur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Masur is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Masur to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
05.03.24	Arthur Gea - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Arthur Gea - Marius Copil	2:0 ✺
26.02.24	Billy Harris - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.02.24	Arthur Gea - Dan Alexandru Tomescu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWLL
- Daniel Masur
ATP Challenger
05.03.24	Daniel Masur - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:0 ✺
04.03.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Daniel Masur - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.02.24	Daniel Masur - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

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