Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Billy Harris		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	2.00	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	2.02	1.74
	2.02	1.9
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	2.00	1.73	Watch
	1.97	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.87)	1.76 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Billy Harris
46.9%

Arthur Gea
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Billy Harris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billy Harris than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Billy Harris - Arthur Gea Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Harris (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Billy Harris will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Harris (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Harris is ranked ATP: 142. Gea is ranked ATP: 135.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Gea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Harris won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Gea - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Billy Harris
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Billy Harris - Clement Chidekh	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Billy Harris - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	James Duckworth - Billy Harris	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWL?
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Anton Matusevich - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Arthur Gea - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
09.06.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.26	Karen Khachanov - Arthur Gea	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
19.05.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Billy Harris - Arthur Gea	2:0
26.02.24	Billy Harris - Arthur Gea	2:0

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