Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Yasutaka Uchiyama		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.23	1.68
			Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.16	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.07)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yasutaka Uchiyama
42.3%

Arthur Gea
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yasutaka Uchiyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yasutaka Uchiyama than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Yasutaka Uchiyama - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Uchiyama will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Gea will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uchiyama: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Uchiyama (votes: 3 - 60%). Gea (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Uchiyama is ranked ATP: 225. Gea is ranked ATP: 247.

Uchiyama has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gea is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Gea will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uchiyama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yasutaka Uchiyama
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Yuta Kikuchi	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Michael Zheng - Yasutaka Uchiyama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWL
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
26.08.25	Jie Cui - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.08.25	Arthur Gea - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Arthur Gea - Rawat Sidharth	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Arthur Gea - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Arthur Gea - Kabir Hans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.03.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Arthur Gea	0:2

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