Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Noumea, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday


	Arthur Gea		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	2.69	1.42	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.79	1.89	Watch
	1.8	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.54)	1.83 ↓ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
48.6%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Gea's form might have worsened.

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Diaz Acosta's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Arthur Gea - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gea (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Diaz Acosta (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 241. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 210.

Diaz Acosta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gea will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Alex Barrena - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Arthur Gea - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Arthur Gea - Petr Brunclik	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Arthur Gea - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Arthur Gea - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWW
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Louis Dussin	2:0 ✺
28.11.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:2 ✺
27.11.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Benjamin Torrealba	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Eduardo Ribeiro - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWWL

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