Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Montpellier 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Arthur Gea		Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
			Watch
	2.12	1.7	Watch
	2.13	1.78
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.16	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.8)	1.69 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
44%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
56%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Gea's form might have worsened.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Gea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	0%	79.3%

Arthur Gea - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 24.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 198. Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 61.

Gea is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mpetshi Perricard's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mpetshi Perricard could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.37%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Arthur Gea - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:3 ✺
19.01.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Gea	0:3 ✺
14.01.26	Arthur Gea - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Zdenek Kolar - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWWW
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Sebastian Baez	2:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
15.01.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Cameron Norrie - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
08.01.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Basel
27.10.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Arthur Fils	✺

Arthur Gea - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide