Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Zdenek Kolar		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.7	1.24	Watch
	3.54	1.28	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.91	1.26	Watch
	3.66	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.67)	1.26 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zdenek Kolar
25.5%

Arthur Gea
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zdenek Kolar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zdenek Kolar's form might have worsened.

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Gea's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zdenek Kolar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Gea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Zdenek Kolar - Arthur Gea Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gea (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arthur Gea will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kolar is ranked ATP: 176. Gea is ranked ATP: 241.

Kolar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gea is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gea is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Gea - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.96%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Zdenek Kolar - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Zdenek Kolar - Tibo Colson	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Zdenek Kolar - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Zdenek Kolar - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	Canceled ✺
26.11.25	Zdenek Kolar - Miguel Damas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWW?L
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
10.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Michael Zheng - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
08.01.26	Arthur Gea - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Arthur Gea - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Alex Barrena - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW

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