Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - Final

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Arthur Gea		Jay Clarke

	1	2
	1.83	1.85
	1.84	1.92
	1.8	1.97	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.71	2.01
	1.62	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.62)	1.93 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
52.1%

Jay Clarke
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-5%)

Arthur Gea - Jay Clarke Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 315. Clarke is ranked ATP: 255.

Gea is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Clarke is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Clarke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ITF Tournaments
19.04.25	Giovanni Fonio - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Arthur Gea - Andrea Picchione	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Arthur Gea - Manuel Mazza	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Arthur Gea - Leonardo Malgaroli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.25	Arthur Gea - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL
- Jay Clarke
ITF Tournaments
19.04.25	Nicholas David Ionel - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Federico Iannaccone - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Stefano DAgostino - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Jay Clarke - Oliver Crawford	Clarke J. retired ✺
05.04.25	Jay Clarke - Chirag Duhan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWW?W

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