Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	Arthur Gea		Jan Choinski

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.79	1.92	Watch
	1.86	1.9	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.84	1.88	Watch
	1.79	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)	1.9 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
51.2%

Jan Choinski
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Arthur Gea - Jan Choinski Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Choinski will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Choinski (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 332. Choinski is ranked ATP: 201.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Gea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Gea - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.97%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Jan Choinski - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.03%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Arthur Gea - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Timofey Skatov - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Benjamin Hassan - Arthur Gea	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWL?
- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Jan Choinski - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot	Canceled ✺
03.04.25	Jan Choinski - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Jan Choinski - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Jan Choinski - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 W?LWL

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