Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 April 2025, Friday


	Arthur Gea		Manuel Mazza

	1	2
			Watch
	1.27	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)	3.46 ↓ (3.47)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
73.2%

Manuel Mazza
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Manuel Mazza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manuel Mazza than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Arthur Gea - Manuel Mazza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 315. Mazza is ranked ATP: 778.

Gea is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mazza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mazza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gea is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ITF Tournaments
14.04.25	Arthur Gea - Leonardo Malgaroli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.25	Arthur Gea - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Arthur Gea - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLW
- Manuel Mazza
ITF Tournaments
18.04.25	Manuel Mazza - Alessandro Bellifemine	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Manuel Mazza - Iannis Miletich	0:2 ✺
25.03.25	Manuel Mazza - Cristian Campese	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Svyatoslav Gulin - Manuel Mazza	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Manuel Mazza - Max Alcala Gurri	Alcala Gurri M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWL?

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