Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday


	Arthur Gea		Oriol Roca Batalla

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.84	1.88	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.04)	1.85 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
50.2%

Oriol Roca Batalla
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Oriol Roca Batalla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Gea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriol Roca Batalla than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oriol Roca Batalla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Arthur Gea - Oriol Roca Batalla Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Gea will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 295. Batalla is ranked ATP: 331.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Batalla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
23.06.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Arthur Gea - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Arthur Gea - Robert Strombachs	2:1 ✺
12.06.25	Clement Tabur - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
10.06.25	Michael Geerts - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLW
- Oriol Roca Batalla
ATP Challenger
24.06.25	Oriol Roca Batalla - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Francesco Passaro - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Giovanni Fonio - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
16.06.25	Oriol Roca Batalla - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Oriol Roca Batalla - Ryan Seggerman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.05.22	Oriol Roca Batalla - Arthur Gea	0:2

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