Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	Arthur Gea		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.39	Watch
	2.6	1.52
	2.89	1.36	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.63	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.2)	1.43 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
34.6%

Valentin Vacherot
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Gea's performance.

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valentin Vacherot might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Arthur Gea - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Vacherot will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valentin Vacherot will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 314. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 223.

Two players are playing changeable.

Gea could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.

In this match, Vacherot is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Iannis Miletich - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Alessandro Spadola - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Arthur Gea - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Giovanni Fonio - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLW
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Arthur Bouquier - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
28.04.25	Maxime Janvier - Valentin Vacherot	Janvier M. retired ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Valentin Vacherot - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
01.04.25	Valentin Vacherot - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 W?LWL

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