Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 4, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday


	Max Alcala Gurri		Arthur Gea

	1	2
			Watch
	2.29	1.61
	2.22	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.24)	1.61 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Alcala Gurri
41.6%

Arthur Gea
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Max Alcala Gurri - Arthur Gea Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 435. Gea is ranked ATP: 314.

Alcala Gurri is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gea is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcala Gurri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gea will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcala Gurri won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Alcala Gurri
ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Justin Engel - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Matt Kleiman	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.04.25	Elmer Moller - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Marko Topo - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLW
- Arthur Gea
ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Iannis Miletich - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Alessandro Spadola - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Arthur Gea - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Giovanni Fonio - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Arthur Gea - Andrea Picchione	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW

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