Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Altamura, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Arthur Nagel		Alessandro Pecci

	1	2
	1.62	2.33
	1.6	2.17	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.83)	2.18 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Nagel
57.3%

Alessandro Pecci
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Nagel's performance.

Alessandro Pecci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alessandro Pecci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandro Pecci than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Arthur Nagel - Alessandro Pecci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagel is ranked ATP: 529. Pecci is ranked ATP: 712.

In recent matches, Nagel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pecci is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pecci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Nagel - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Alessandro Pecci - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
19.03.26	Raphael Perot - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Arthur Nagel - Niels Visker	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Arthur Nagel	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Arthur Nagel - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Arthur Nagel - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWLWW
- Alessandro Pecci
ITF Tournaments
22.03.26	Alessandro Pecci - Faris Zakaryia	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Alessandro Pecci	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Saveliy Ivanov - Alessandro Pecci	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Nikita Bilozertsev - Alessandro Pecci	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Michal Krajci - Alessandro Pecci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL

Arthur Nagel - Alessandro Pecci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide