Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Creteil, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Marvin Moeller		Arthur Nagel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.47	2.71
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.49)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
63.2%

Arthur Nagel
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Arthur Nagel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Marvin Moeller - Arthur Nagel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 456. Nagel is ranked ATP: 529.

Moeller is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Nagel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Moeller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moeller is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
13.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Hamish Stewart	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Kai Wehnelt	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Maxence Bertimon	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Marvin Moeller - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW
- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
13.03.26	Arthur Nagel - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Arthur Nagel - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Arthur Nagel - Noah Karma	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Arthur Nagel - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWLL

Marvin Moeller - Arthur Nagel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide