Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Altamura, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Arthur Nagel		Leonardo Rossi

	1	2
	1.3	3.2
	1.32	3.41
	1.31	3.09	Watch
	1.33	2.9
	1.25	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.51)	3.24 ↑ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Nagel
71.3%

Leonardo Rossi
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Nagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Nagel's performance.

Leonardo Rossi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leonardo Rossi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Nagel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonardo Rossi than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonardo Rossi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arthur Nagel - Leonardo Rossi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagel is ranked ATP: 529. Rossi is ranked ATP: 688.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rossi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nagel is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
27.03.26	Arthur Nagel - Alessandro Pecci	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Raphael Perot - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Arthur Nagel - Niels Visker	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Arthur Nagel	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Arthur Nagel - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLWLW
- Leonardo Rossi
ITF Tournaments
27.03.26	Massimo Giunta - Leonardo Rossi	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Leonardo Rossi - Amir Omarkhanov	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Leonardo Rossi - Amine Jamji	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Anton Matusevich - Leonardo Rossi	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Maxence Beauge - Leonardo Rossi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLLW

Arthur Nagel - Leonardo Rossi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide