Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rennes, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Arthur Nagel

	1	2
	1.30	3.40	Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.30	3.40	Watch
	1.28	3.36	Watch
	1.35	3.25
	1.30	3.21	Watch
	1.30	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	3.24 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
71.2%

Arthur Nagel
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Arthur Nagel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Francesco Maestrelli - Arthur Nagel Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Nagel will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 168. Nagel is ranked ATP: 359.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nagel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Maestrelli is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Alafia Ayeni	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Toby Samuel - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL
- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Maximilian Figl - Arthur Nagel	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Yassine Dlimi - Arthur Nagel	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Diogo Morais - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Petros Tsitsipas - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Tim Handel - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWW

Francesco Maestrelli - Arthur Nagel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide