Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luanda 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Arthur Nagel		Robert Strombachs

	1	2
			Watch
	2.19	1.57	Watch
	2.54	1.49
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.3	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.24)	1.53 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Nagel
39.5%

Robert Strombachs
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Nagel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Robert Strombachs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Nagel than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robert Strombachs than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Arthur Nagel - Robert Strombachs Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Strombachs (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Strombachs (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nagel is ranked ATP: 620. Strombachs is ranked ATP: 382.

Nagel is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Strombachs's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Strombachs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Strombachs will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Nagel
ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Arthur Nagel - Yassine Smiej	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Arthur Nagel - Alex Kuperstein	Canceled ✺
22.11.25	Max Houkes - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Mikail Alimli - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Alan Bojarski - Arthur Nagel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 W?LWW
- Robert Strombachs
ITF Tournaments
27.11.25	Aaron Gil Garcia - Robert Strombachs	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Yannik Kelm - Robert Strombachs	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	Robert Strombachs - Mikail Alimli	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Robert Strombachs - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Etienne Donnet - Robert Strombachs	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLW

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